Tuesday, March 19, 2013

EUR/USD bounces to 1.2940

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) – The EUR/USD is now bouncing from the massive euro selloff on the ECB’s Draghi, from 1.2907 low to 1.2940 at the moment of writing, still edging lower on the day by -0.26% (GMT). The market will be eyeing the Merkel-Samaras meeting in Athens and looking for headlines.
The CPI inflation report (YoY) in Greece eased from +1.7% to +0.9% in September, while the harmonized data softened from +1.2% to +0.3% (consensus of +0.9%). The Public Deficit/GDP ratio in Italy dropped from 8.0% to 2.8% in Q3.
Despite yesterday’s softening, Commerzbank analysts are unable to rule out a re-challenge of the 1.3173/77 band (recent high and the Fibonacci retracement/78.6% retracement of the move seen this year), but favor failure there. “Immediate support is offered by the 6 week uptrend at 1.2905, this guards the 2 month uptrend and 200 day ma at 1.2824/1.2738 – risk has shifted to the topside very near term however we expect it to remain fairly tepid”, wrote analyst Karen Jones.

1.2935/37 (-0.25%)

H1.2992 L 1.2907

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.2842 1.2875 1.2907 1.2998 1.3030 1.3063


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